Horns of a dilemma

Spring 2026

Deterrence | International Order | Nuclear Strategy | Podcast | Technology

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Strategic Stability in a Rapidly Changing World

Deterrence | International Order | Nuclear Strategy | Podcast | Technology March 18, 2026

Harold Trinkunas, Sheena Chestnut Greitens, Ryan Vest

Harold Trinkunas previews our special issue on strategic stability by explaining how Cold War deterrence assumptions rooted in a bilateral US–Soviet relationship no longer hold amid more nuclear-armed actors, wider access to AI, cyber, hypersonics, and the possibility that these tools can threaten second-strike forces or create effects once associated with nuclear weapons. Our discussion highlights risks of preemption, inadvertent escalation driven by automation and bad data, and psychological and organizational biases intensified by time compression and increasingly personalist regimes.

The Roundtable essay discussed is “Introduction: Emerging Technologies and the Future of Strategic Stability.”

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Hosts: Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Ryan Vest

Producer: Jordan Morning

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