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TNSR Vol 2 Issue 1 Colby
Related Articles
US Policy Toward North Korea: Quo Vadis?
US Policy Toward North Korea: Quo Vadis?
strategist
As the Trump administration recalibrates America’s global priorities, containing Pyongyang should be at the top of its agenda. Despite the progress of North Korea's illicit weapons programs, the United States should still pursue its longstanding goal of…
Hard Then, Harder Now: CoCom’s Lessons and the Challenge of Crafting Effective Export Controls Against China
Hard Then, Harder Now: CoCom’s Lessons and the Challenge of Crafting Effective Export Controls Against China
scholarly
Will the US-led technology control regime against China have a meaningful impact on the emerging great power competition? Supporters praise the effort’s targeted approach and optimistically see the case as a prime example of weaponized interdependence. But…
The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials
The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials
scholarly
This article analyzes more than 60,000 assessments of uncertainty made by national security officials from more than forty NATO allies and partners. The findings show that national security officials are overwhelmingly overconfident and that their judgments…