Intelligence
Preparing the Cyber Battlefield: Assessing a Novel Escalation Risk in a Sino-American Crisis
Preparing the Cyber Battlefield: Assessing a Novel Escalation Risk in a Sino-American Crisis
Do cyber capabilities create novel risks of a future political crisis between the United States and China escalating into a conflict? This article outlines one potential pathway for interstate crises to escalate: the use of force in response to adversary…
Beacon and Warning: Sherman Kent, Scientific Hubris, and the CIA’s Office of National Estimates
Beacon and Warning: Sherman Kent, Scientific Hubris, and the CIA’s Office of National Estimates
Sherman Kent, the Yale historian who directed the Office of National Estimates from 1952 to 1967, is a legend at the CIA, revered for professionalizing U.S. intelligence analysis. His analytic doctrine, steeped as it was in a commitment to reason and method,…