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Beacon and Warning: Sherman Kent, Scientific Hubris, and the CIA’s Office of National Estimates

Beacon and Warning: Sherman Kent, Scientific Hubris, and the CIA’s Office of National Estimates

Sherman Kent, the Yale historian who directed the Office of National Estimates from 1952 to 1967, is a legend at the CIA, revered for professionalizing U.S. intelligence analysis. His analytic doctrine, steeped as it was in a commitment to reason and method,…