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So What? Reassessing the Military Implications of Chinese Control of Taiwan

So What? Reassessing the Military Implications of Chinese Control of Taiwan

China and the United States are locked in an intensifying security competition, much of it revolving around—but increasingly transcending—Taiwan's continued autonomy. The operational value of a Chinese-controlled Taiwan has been cited as one reason for the…

Just Do It: Explaining the Characteristics and Rationale of Chinese Economic Sanctions

Just Do It: Explaining the Characteristics and Rationale of Chinese Economic Sanctions

While most economic sanctions are explicitly announced, Chinese economic sanctions tend to be vague — not explicitly announced. China rarely threatens sanctions — instead, it directly executes them. What explains these vague and executed Chinese sanctions?…

Estimating China’s Defense Spending: How to Get It Wrong (and Right)

Estimating China’s Defense Spending: How to Get It Wrong (and Right)

China’s defense spending is opaque, and China spends more on defense than its official 2024 defense budget of 1.67 trillion yuan ($232 billion) indicates. Some analysts claim China’s defense spending is equivalent to $700 billion, approaching the level of…